PACE+DOVE override + $50 daily max drawdown INTERNAL ONLY
Definition
| Family | ensemble |
| Evidence tier | T0_EXPLORATORY |
| Public status | NOT_PUBLIC |
| Lab status | ACTIVE_MONITOR |
| Effective status (this eval) | ACTIVE_MONITOR_PENDING_FORWARD_ROWS |
| Lab inception (forward start, no backfill) | 2026-07-09T03:55:54Z |
Historical Evidence (separate from forward)
| source_report | reports/research/ensemble_selector/2026-07-08_regime_ensemble_risk50_report.md |
| source_pr | 28 |
| historical_net_pnl | — |
| historical_max_dd | -70.71 |
| historical_sharpe | — |
| historical_trade_count | — |
| validation_pnl | — |
| locked_test_pnl | +79.79 |
| search_adjusted_p | +0.79 |
| reality_check_status | NOT_PROMOTED |
Forward Evidence (since lab inception only)
| forward_trades | 0 |
| forward_markets | 0 |
| forward_active_days | 0 |
| forward_net_pnl | 0 |
| forward_win_rate | — |
| forward_max_dd | 0.00 |
| forward_worst_day | — |
| forward_best_day | — |
| forward_daily_pnl | {} |
| forward_cumulative_pnl | 0.00 |
| forward_sharpe_active | — |
| forward_sharpe_calendar | — |
| latest_forward_timestamp | — |
Risk Metrics
| stop_loss_hits | 0 |
| drawdown_stop_hits | 0 |
| cooldown_hits | 0 |
| trades_blocked | 0 |
| blocked_reason_counts | {} |
| pnl_sacrificed_vs_no_risk | 0 |
| drawdown_reduced_vs_no_risk | 0.00 |
Internal Ranking
| forward_net_pnl_rank | — |
| forward_drawdown_rank | — |
| forward_stability_rank | — |
| forward_trade_count_rank | — |
| composite_private_lab_score | — |
Internal sorting only (lower is better). This score cannot promote a candidate or change any public status.
Why this tier
Exploratory log entry: leakage-safe idea with weak/inconclusive evidence (search-adjusted p=0.7865, reality check: NOT_PROMOTED). Monitoring is allowed; public claims are not.
T2 Private-Watchlist Policy Status
| Policy requirement | Status | Detail |
|---|
| valid scoring bundle / reproducible definition | PASS | scored |
| forward trades >= 100 | NOT MET | has 0 |
| forward active days >= 10 | NOT MET | has 0 |
| forward net PnL > 0 | NOT MET | has 0 |
| no safety violation | PASS | paper_only, real_orders_enabled=false, no backfill (validator-enforced) |
Not eligible for private-watchlist review yet — the unmet lines above are why.
Promotion Checklist (human only)
- Human review requested and recorded (never automatic)
- Forward sample meets the target tier's policy minimums
- Historical vs forward evidence consistent (no backfill, no locked-test rows counted as forward)
- Risk metrics sane (drawdown, worst day, concentration)
- Search-adjusted evidence disclosed (required for public claims, not for monitoring)
- No alpha/profitability language in any proposed public copy
SECRET LAB — INTERNAL ONLY. Paper simulation bookkeeping. No real orders, no live trading, no execution candidate, no promotion from this page. Forward evidence starts at lab inception and is never backfilled. Not on the public dashboard; do not link from public_site.